NYSE Takes Stake in Polymarkets as Prediction Markets Prove Their Longevity: Top 3 Polymarket Wagers This Month?
The largest trading platform owner on Wall Street is wagering $2 billion that prediction markets are on their way to becoming mainstream.
Intercontinental Trading network (ICE), the parent entity of the New York Stock Trading platform, declared on Tuesday that it will allocate up to $2 billion in the crypto prediction protocol Polymarket.
This agreement positions ICE as a worldwide distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven analytics and paves the way for future tokenization collaborations between the two companies.
The investment estimates Polymarket’s valuation at approximately $8 billion pre-deal and $9 billion post-deal, based on company disclosures.
We are thrilled to share that Intercontinental Trading protocol (ICE) — the parent company of @NYSE, is making a strategic investment of $2 billion at a post-money valuation of $9 billion.
Together, we’re developing the next advancement in markets.
A heartfelt thank you to everyone who has stood by us… pic.twitter.com/y7Z3koj3IU
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 7, 2025
Following the news, ICE’s shares experienced an increase in pre-market trading.
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This initiative marks one of Wall Street’s most significant forays into blockchain-powered prediction markets, historically considered too experimental for conventional finance.
ICE indicated it intends to distribute Polymarket’s data to institutional investors while investigating methods to tokenize financial products utilizing comparable technologies.
“Our investment merges ICE’s market infrastructure with an innovative company redefining the intersection of data and events,” ICE CEO Jeffrey Sprecher stated in a release.
Polymarket’s founder and CEO Shayne Coplan described the collaboration as “a significant stride in integrating prediction markets into the financial mainstream.”
Since resolving an issue with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022, Polymarket has primarily operated outside the U.S. The company incurred a $1.4 million penalty and consented to close non-compliant markets.
In order to re-enter the United States, Polymarket purchased QCEX, a CFTC-sanctioned trading network and clearinghouse, for $112 million in July.
In early September, CFTC personnel issued a limited no-action letter to QCEX regarding data reporting and recordkeeping, facilitating a regulated return of event-based contracts.
ICE’s foray into this arena suggests that prediction markets, previously limited to the crypto sector, may soon find integration within the larger financial ecosystem.
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Reuters reported a rise of approximately 4% in ICE’s shares during pre-market trading following the announcement. The agreement comes as prediction markets reach new peaks.
Information from DeFiLlama indicates Polymarket’s 30-day DEX trading volume at roughly $1.16 billion, while US-regulated Kalshi reported about $1.3 billion in September.
Both platforms are vying for participants and market fluidity as the interest in event-based trading escalates.
ICE mentioned that the investment was in cash and would not alter its projections for 2025. Additional information is anticipated during its earnings call on October 30.
Founded in 2020 and currently the official prediction partner of X and Stocktwits, Polymarket presents its prices as real-time probabilities that can act as sentiment indicators for media and institutions.
Traders are actively wagering on another 25-basis-point rate reduction.
As of Tuesday, the “Decrease 25 bps” contract reflected around 89% likelihood, compared to approximately 9% for “No change,” on total volume exceeding $46 million. The conclusion will rely on the Federal Reserve’s policy statement on October 29.
With the government shutdown now in its first week, Polymarket’s contract tracking the reopening date indicates “Oct. 15 or later” priced at nearly 69%, and “Oct. 10–14” at 28%, based on over $4.7 million in trading volume.
The outcome will rely on announcements from the US Office of Personnel Management.
ICE intends to provide further updates on October 30. Keep an eye out for Polymarket’s formal US relaunch schedule as QCEX expands, along with any regulatory changes impacting event contracts.
How institutions embrace Polymarket’s data and whether Kalshi retains its recent volume advantage will serve as early indicators of the evolving prediction market environment.
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The article NYSE Invests in Polymarkets as Prediction Markets Here to Stay: 3 Best Polymarket Bets This Month? was first published on 99Bitcoins.
