CME Group’s Fresh Strategy to Control Prediction Markets

Nov 14, 2025

CME Group is making prediction markets more accessible to daily users, marking a significant transition from Wall Street to Main Street.

FanDuel, the leading sports-betting protocol in the US, along with CME Group, the largest derivatives trading protocol globally, announced on Wednesday evening their plans to launch a new prediction-markets application in December. The application, named FanDuel Predicts, will allow users to trade on outcomes related to sports, significant stock indices, energy costs, and US economic statistics.

This service will only be available in states where online sports betting remains banned. The companies disclosed their strategic alliance on November 12 in both New York and Chicago.

The approach is clear: respond to the growing interest in prediction markets while utilizing CME’s regulatory framework to adhere to federal guidelines.

Will FanDuel Predict Feature Crypto, Commodity, and Index Contracts?

According to a shared announcement on PR Newswire, FanDuel Predicts will debut as a distinct mobile application, allowing users to engage in buying and selling event contracts priced between $0.01 and $0.99.

Every contract poses a straightforward yes-or-no question. Participants receive a fixed payout at settlement if the outcome is realized.

This product will concentrate on two categories of markets. For sports, FanDuel will offer contracts linked to baseball, basketball, football, and hockey.

These contracts will exclusively be available in states where online sports betting is not permitted, and none will be conducted on tribal lands. FanDuel plans to retract sports contracts immediately if any state approves online sports wagering.

The second category encompasses financial and economic forecasts. In qualifying states, users will have the opportunity to trade contracts associated with the S&P 500, the Nasdaq-100, and prominent commodities like oil, gas, and gold.

The application will also feature crypto asset markets and economic indicators such as US GDP and CPI.

DISCOVER: Top New Cryptocurrencies to Consider for Investment in 2025

What Makes CME’s $20 Daily Event Contracts Attractive to Retail Traders?

New users will need to complete FanDuel’s comprehensive identity verification before they can participate.

They are required to provide their date of birth, Social Protection number, home address, banking information, and a valid ID. These stipulations align with those FanDuel employs for its sportsbook.

CME initiated event contracts in 2022 with offerings tied to its primary futures benchmarks, including WTI crude, natural gas, E-mini S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, Dow, Russell 2000, euro/dollar FX, and a variety of metals.

Each contract is priced at $20 and settles based on a straightforward outcome, whether the underlying future finishes above or below a specified threshold by the end of the trading day.

This provides retail traders with a transparent, low-risk method to express their views on significant crypto market movements.

CME now aims to broaden the format in the fourth quarter of 2025, introducing 24/7 trading for new swap-based event contracts, with yes/no options starting at $1.

The initial group will encompass cryptocurrencies as well as key economic metrics such as US GDP and CPI. These contracts will be accessible globally through any futures commission merchant willing to facilitate them.

Dune Analytics reports that the weekly notional volumes on leading prediction platforms surged to approximately $2Bn in November.

DISCOVER: Top Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in for 2025