
As the Bull Trading market Declines: What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin in 2025?
The bullish phase of the market *has ended*, at least in terms of digital currency. You should have taken the opportunity to sell. Just to clarify, last week the entire Twitter community was declaring that altseason had arrived. So where is it now? What if you miss the mark and the bullish trend is genuinely finished? And what if you missed your chance to capitalize?
Every YouTuber and crypto thought leader is advising us to HODL. Surely, they can’t all be mistaken, right?
Just a week following the Fed’s first rate reduction of 2025, Chair Jerome Powell expressed a cautious outlook on Tuesday. He acknowledged that the U.S. labor crypto market is weakening, inflation remains high, and that policymakers are facing what he termed “two-way risk.”
“There is no risk-free path forward,” Powell stated, leaving the decision on October’s policy completely open.
The futures trading market currently indicates a 92% likelihood of another rate cut in October, an increase from 89.8% before Powell’s address, with traders predicting three cuts in total by the end of the year. But will that suffice for the crypto markets if we fall into another economic downturn?
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Is The Bull Crypto market Finished? Why Stocks Surge While Crypto Drains
Wall Street has interpreted hints of easing as a signal to proceed without caution. This week, the S&P 500 reached new highs, propelled by technology stocks. Yet, the crypto markets tell a different narrative: on September 22, approximately $1.7 billion in positions were liquidated in one day, marking the largest wrecked since December 2024, as reported by Coinglass.
This discrepancy highlights that risk assets are not necessarily moving in unison. Stocks operate on fundamentals like earnings, AI-enhanced productivity, and corporate buybacks. Conversely, crypto thrives on market fluidity, leverage, and crypto market sentiment.
Some market participants on X and Reddit believe that the current market fluctuation is merely a precursor to a mania phase. They point out that every prior cycle concluded with steep price increases and a final FOMO-driven surge before a crash.
There are macro factors building for such a development:
- M2 money circulating supply is rising again, according to FRED data, after two years of decline.
- ETF inflows are on the rise. Glassnode indicates that U.S.-listed BTC ETFs experienced $890M in net inflows last week alone.
- Global policy is evolving: U.S. 401(k) reforms and Gulf sovereign funds looking into crypto could unlock trillions in dormant capital.
This happens frequently… the market anticipates a significant price breakout, builds leveraged positions ahead of it, fails on the initial attempt, leading to widespread liquidations… only then does the actual upward movement occur, leaving many on the sidelines.
— Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) September 22, 2025
As one trader summarized:
“For two years straight, fear has been thrown at this market—fears of recession, bank collapses, and nuclear threats. None of it deterred Bitcoin from surpassing $120K. Eventually, fear fatigue can transform into momentum.”
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The Bearish View: Weaker Buyers, Weak Rebound, Are We in Trouble?
Not everyone anticipates an upward trend. Some analysts caution that the selloff spurred by liquidations failed to trigger the expected rebound, which they consider a concerning sign.
“The typical 80% rebound threshold was not met this time. This indicates that there is a lack of interest to take over,” said one crypto holder on X.
$BTC commonly bottoms in September.
In just 2 days, $17,500,000,000 worth of BTC options will expire, with a max pain point at $107,000.
Historically, Bitcoin tends to trend towards max pain during these significant expirations.
I believe another big drop is still looming before a turnaround. pic.twitter.com/VVlupHXjmq
— Ted (@TedPillows) September 24, 2025
With BTC trading close to $112,500 base level, downtrend analysts highlight downside zones of $100K for Bitcoin, $3,400 for ETH, and $160 for SOL as the next significant thresholds.
The actual turning point will come with the U.S. data release on Thursday, which will cover: GDP, jobless claims, and Treasury auctions. Should the figures confirm a decelerating economy, rate cuts may hasten and market fluidity could re-enter risk assets.
Regardless, Powell is correct about one thing. There is no risk-free route ahead.
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Key Takeaways
- The uptrend phase of the trading market *has ended*, particularly for digital currency. You should have taken action to sell. To reiterate, the entire Twitter sphere was stating that altseason was upon us, but it did not materialize.
- With BTC trading close to $112,500 base level, downtrend indicators suggest potential downside at $100K for BTC, $3,400 for ETH, and $160 for SOL as the next critical checks.
The post As Bull Trading market Heads South: What’s Next For BTC in 2025? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.