Markets Prepare for Crypto Turmoil: Federal Reserve, Earnings Reports, and Trade Discussions at the Forefront

The upcoming week presents a macro minefield; we could be standing on the edge of a cryptocurrency crisis. With the Fed’s July meeting, tech giants reporting earnings, inflation data, and labor statistics, investors are confronted with a daunting array of trading market indicators.

Factor in trade tensions with the EU, and the third quarter could swing dramatically in either direction. Here’s what you should be aware of:

Attention on the Fed’s July Meeting

“We are here to save the bull run.”

Do you think either of those individuals believed that? Regardless, don’t anticipate any major developments from the Fed this week.

The majority view on Polymarket indicates rates will remain stable between 4.25% and 4.5%. Trump is persistently advocating for cuts, but Powell remains steadfast, awaiting further data. With a 62% market-implied likelihood of a cut in September, Wednesday’s press conference and GDP report should be essential viewing.

LMAO! A reporter just queried Trump at the Federal Reserve: “As a real estate developer, how would you handle the project manager who exceeded the budget?”

TRUMP: “I’D FIRE HIM!”

Powell appeared EXTREMELY uncomfortable pic.twitter.com/ROwXKatq2E

— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) July 24, 2025

The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index on Thursday will signal the Fed’s next move. PCE will shed light on whether tariff-induced pressures are permeating deeper into the economy.

Analysts predict a 0.3% increase month-over-month and a 2.5% annual inflation rate. Core PCE, which omits food and energy, is anticipated to rise by 0.3% monthly and 2.7% annually.

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Improved Trade Sentiment Ahead of August 1 Deadline

In the meantime, Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report will provide the clearest insight into the labor market’s durability amidst trade uncertainties. Consensus forecasts estimate the addition of 102,000 jobs and a rise in unemployment to 4.2%.

“Initial jobless claims have decreased for six consecutive weeks… but ongoing claims indicate it’s taking people longer to get reemployed.” — Dow Jones economist briefing

Markets are proceeding with cautious optimism as they approach this week’s U.S.-EU trade deadline. With recent agreements reached with Japan, Vietnam, and Indonesia, along with some progress with China, the likelihood of significant new tariffs has diminished.

The Trump administration is also gearing up for new trade discussions with Chinese officials in Sweden, which could further elevate crypto market sentiment.

Moreover, around 40% of the S&P 500 will disclose earnings this week:

• Meta Platforms (Wed): Analysts project $43.84 billion in revenue and EPS of $5.91, focusing on AI investments.
• Microsoft (Wed): Projections estimate $73.81 billion in revenue and EPS of $3.37, with emphasis on Azure growth and insights regarding AI services and infrastructure expenditure.
• Apple (Thu): Expectations are set for $40 billion in iPhone sales as consumers aim to evade possible tariff impacts. Projections are subdued for the latter half of the fiscal year.
• Starbucks (Tue): How else can any of us function without Starbucks? (Estimated revenue of $9.31 billion)

If the Fed signals a dovish stance and clarity in trade emerges by August 1, risk assets like BTC ▲0.72% may experience a surge.

For the moment, traders are initiating the week with cautious optimism. This is it; let’s proceed.

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