Polymarket Assigns Bitcoin a 62% Probability of Reaching $120K by the End of the Month
Though retail may be the last to enter this bull trading market, significant investments are currently positioning up for 
BTC ▲4.05% in real time. Institutions, quantitative traders, and crypto-focused markets are beginning to share the same prediction: Bitcoin’s price could reach $150,000 by 2025 and swiftly.
In fact, Polymarket has recently adjusted its forecast, determining that Bitcoin has a 61% likelihood of hitting $120K before the month concludes. This was once regarded as a distant projection until just last week. Here’s what you need to be aware of:
$180,000 Bitcoin is “Very Much in Play”
Adding to the excitement, VanEck’s head of digital asset research, Matthew Sigel, highlighted what he describes as the “perfect storm” brewing for BTC. Sigel points out that Bitcoin’s potential is being fueled by:
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“Ongoing U.S. debt and deficit issues”
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“A declining dollar and favorable demographic trends”
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“Momentum for rate cuts and potential changes in Fed leadership”
BREAKING
— MAGA Voice (@MAGAVoice) July 8, 2025
Sigel’s views are echoed by analysts at 99Bitcoin, who believe that monetary easing, increased interest in decentralized assets, and global instability create the perfect conditions for crypto asset to excel.
VanEck has publicly indicated that $180,000 Bitcoin is “very much in play” by 2025.
A significant shift is occurring as corporate treasuries are now purchasing BTC instead of retail investors as was seen in 2021. Companies are discreetly accumulating BTC, signaling stronger institutional confidence. Concurrently, the U.S. House is gearing up for “Crypto Week,” with stablecoin regulation anticipated to be the first substantial effort at federal crypto legislation.
Technical Setup Suggests $150K If Bulls Maintain the Momentum
A classic golden cross has recently occurred for Bitcoin, with the 20-period SMA crossing over the 200, and this is a notable signal. This often indicates the beginning of significant macro changes.
Following a period of tight consolidation, the surge to $116,000 was aggressive and supported by volume.
Simultaneously, the RSI has retreated from the cusp of overbought territory. Look for consolidation around these figures.
According to Cointelegraph and 10x Research’s Markus Thielen, BTC currently has a 60% chance of increasing by another 20% in the upcoming two months. This would elevate it above $135,000. Other analysts, including Kyle Reidhead from Milk Road, predict a movement to $150,000 as the forthcoming logical target.
The chart setup substantiates this notion. BTC has recently surpassed barrier level at $110,530, positioning for a potential upward movement toward the target of $150,000 set by the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
Polymarket Makes Bold Predictions for July Rally
Traders on Polymarket are making significant bets for the near term. Their current forecast indicates a 61% chance of Bitcoin reaching $120,000 by July’s end, demonstrating that retail traders are still not cashing out. This marks a substantial shift in sentiment from just a few weeks back.
Activity on Polymarket has surged considerably, revealing that participants are eager to back this short-term bullish thesis with actual capital. This summer could be quite exciting for all.
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Key Takeaways
- Institutions, quant traders, and crypto-native markets are all beginning to resonate with the same prediction: Bitcoin’s price soaring to $150,000 by 2025.
- Polymarket traders are making substantial bets for the immediate future, anticipating a 61% chance for BTC to hit $120,000 by the end of July.
- Attention is focused on Powell this month, especially as inflation persists and labor data weakens.
The post Polymarket Gives Bitcoin 62% Odds of Hitting $120K by Month-End appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
