Post-Halving Bitcoin: Long-Term Investors Are Stocking Up Once More – Is the Upcoming Rally Approaching?
For those who have been involved with Bitcoin for a significant period, it’s evident that its price fluctuates in cycles, with the halving cycle being particularly crucial. This event occurs approximately every four years, interrupts the block reward, and has historically initiated significant price movements. However, what’s equally important is the behavior of holders leading up to and following the event.
Currently, long-term holders who have maintained their Bitcoin for 3–5 years are quietly accumulating more. Data from Glassnode indicates that after selling off over 2 million BTC in two major waves earlier during this cycle, these holders are now engaged in a deep reaccumulation phase.
Throughout the 2023–25 cycle, Long-Term Holders have offloaded more than 2M $BTC in two distinct waves. Yet, each was accompanied by substantial reaccumulation, which has helped alleviate the sell-side pressure. This cyclical equilibrium might be stabilizing price movements. pic.twitter.com/HAOZhG4q8o
— glassnode (@glassnode) March 31, 2025
Since the middle of February, they’ve reclaimed about 363,000 Bitcoin into their wallets. This is a strong indicator: these aren’t traders seeking rapid profits. They are focused on the long term and seem to be gearing up for future developments.
Whales Ramp Up Accumulation Strategies And Capitalize on Undervalued Bitcoin USD
Simultaneously, the whales—wallets controlling over 1,000 BTC—have also been actively involved. At the start of April, Glassnode’s “accumulation score” for these large whales reached an impressive 1.0, indicating they had been heavily buying for about two weeks consecutively.
Whales holding >10K $BTC briefly registered a perfect accumulation score (~1.0) at the month’s start, reflecting vigorous buying over a 15-day period. The score has since moderated to ~0.65, but still indicates ongoing accumulation.
Additionally, groups holding <1 $BTC up to 100 $BTC have intensified their… https://t.co/cEo3F7Paid pic.twitter.com/7udA7G8nSM— glassnode (@glassnode) April 7, 2025
It has cooled off a bit since then (currently around 0.65), yet this still indicates strong accumulation relative to the average.
This trend often suggests a silent transition of coins from short-term holders or retail investors to long-term, financially robust players. Whether these large holders are strategizing for a optimistic run or simply shielding against macroeconomic uncertainty, it’s evident that the key players are viewing this price range as an opportunity to buy.
Short-Term Holders Exhibit Caution Following Bitcoin Halving
Now, let’s shift our focus to the other end of the spectrum: short-term holders, wallets that have maintained BTC for a few weeks to six months. This group appears to be more nervous. Historically, they tend to sell every 8–12 months in waves. Currently, their spending behavior is on the lower side of the spectrum. In other words? They’re holding… for the time being.
However, this situation can be risky. If the price declines further, these holders might panic and sell, potentially triggering a downside. Thus, remaining passive at this moment, they could be the first to topple in a correction scenario.
Market Sentiment Indicates Underlying Worry
Additionally, sentiment is crucial, often the unpredictable element in crypto. The CoinMarketCap Fear & Greed Index has persisted in “Fear” and “Extreme Fear” zones for several weeks. Trader sentiment hasn’t aligned, even with accumulation actions happening behind the scenes.
Whether it is concerns over inflation, macroeconomic tensions, or exhaustion after the halving, the trading market remains unsure about where it is headed next. Such a sentiment typically maintains high price swings and low conviction.
Looking Forward: Possibilities for Continued Expansion
So, where do we stand now? Both long-term holders and whales are gradually accumulating, often laying the groundwork for stronger price movements. Nevertheless, we remain in a transitional phase until sentiment improves and short-term holders cease reacting with apprehension to every dip.
You can consider it the quiet moment before the next chapter. The halving has concluded — now begins the waiting (and monitoring).
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Key Takeaways
- Long-term BTC holders have resumed accumulation, adding over 363,000 BTC since mid-February after earlier sell-offs.
- Whales with 1,000+ Bitcoin showed peak accumulation in early April, signaling confidence in the current price zone.
- Short-term holders are showing caution, with low spending activity—but could trigger downside if panic selling starts.
- Trading market sentiment remains in “Fear” territory, suggesting investors are uncertain despite strong on-chain accumulation trends.
- With halving complete and accumulation rising, the stage may be set for the next bull phase—once sentiment and momentum align.
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