Will Bitcoin Mirror Gold in Q4? Bitcoin USD Price Review for Monthly Closure as Bears Aim for CME Gap
The price of BTC (BTC USD) wrapped up September at approximately $113,400, down from an intraday peak of $114,842 as trading concluded on September 30. This late-month stagnation coincided with gold reaching new all-time highs, reigniting discussions about Bitcoin potentially mirroring bullion’s pattern as Q4 approaches.
The rise in gold influenced the market’s close. As noted by Reuters, report, Spot XAU/USD reached nearly $3,871 per ounce on September 30, driven by concerns over a US government shutdown and anticipations that the Federal Reserve might favor policy easing.
Trading market analysts suggest that a softer yield environment could bolster risk assets, including BTC, in the upcoming weeks.
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CME Gap at $110,000 Stands as a Near-Term Downside Target for Bears
Currently, $115,000 is identified as the first significant upside catalyst for Bitcoin, while a “gap” near $110,000 at the Chicago Mercantile Trading platform remains a near-term target for bears.
Traders have characterized recent movements as consolidation, highlighting similarities between BTC’s structure and gold’s upward movement formation.
“The upward movement is predetermined. Next phase: price discovery mode,” one analyst posted.
BTC IS FOLLOWING GOLD’S PLAYBOOK.
Gold: shakeout into ATH.
Bitcoin: same consolidation, same trap.The breakout is predetermined.
Next phase: price discovery mode. pic.twitter.com/GorMcCq7Ao— Merlijn The Investor (@MerlijnTrader) September 30, 2025
According to Farside investors’ data, US spot BTC funds experienced a net inflow of +$518M on September 29, marking the strongest daily intake of the week, which helped to partially offset prior outflows.
Data for September 30 was not complete by the time of this report.
Perpetual futures funding remains slightly positive across exchanges, indicating a mild long inclination without the overheated positions often characteristic of trading market tops.
As Q4 kicks off, BTC enthusiasts are keenly observing whether gold’s unprecedented rally serves as a leading indicator or if risks tied to the $110K gap will drive prices down before achieving any meaningful rise above $115K.
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Bitcoin Price Outlook: BTC Positioned for Q4 Upswing as Tether Injects $1B and Gold Correlation Hints at Rally
Bitcoin (BTC) is receiving renewed price floor after distributed database intelligence company Arkham reported that Tether acquired $1 billion worth of the crypto asset.
TETHER JUST PURCHASED $1 BILLION USD OF BTC
TETHER IS OPTIMISTIC ON $BTC pic.twitter.com/JourxhhHXo
— Arkham (@arkham) September 30, 2025
This acquisition reflects robust institutional market demand and reinforces uptrend sentiments as we head into the final quarter of the year.
Analysts are suggesting that Bitcoin’s price action is gearing up for another push towards higher levels, despite a minor setback on Tuesday.
Crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe described the latest decline as a “minor pullback,” indicating that Bitcoin has already surpassed a key price ceiling zone.
As you can see, #Bitcoin breached a significant resistance area and has substantial upside potential.
I anticipate a slight pullback before we begin to move upwards from there.
It’s the season to buy the dip, and I foresee a new ATH in October. pic.twitter.com/smMiW0Jt2I
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) September 30, 2025
“Bitcoin has moved past a critical resistance level and still has ample room for upward movement,” he remarked in a crypto market summary.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $112,800, down about 1.2% for the day.
The daily chart indicates that the crypto asset is stabilizing below the $115,000–$118,000 range, where it has encountered consistent price ceiling over the last three months.
Nonetheless, buyers have maintained the $109,000 threshold, interpreting the current fluctuation as a correction within a broader upward trend rather than a reversal.
Analyst Ted, who monitors the correlation between BTC and gold, observed that Bitcoin typically lags behind gold by an average of eight weeks.
$BTC has shown a strong correlation with gold, experiencing an 8-week delay.
Currently, gold is reaching new peaks, which suggests that BTC will follow suit next.
We might see another correction, but overall Q4 is expected to be significant for BTC. pic.twitter.com/RkOTTgsfG3
— Ted (@TedPillows) September 30, 2025
Gold has recently surged past $3,800 per ounce, establishing a new peak. Should Bitcoin replicate this trend, it could eye price ceiling around $125,000 and even higher, reminiscent of previous late-year rallies.
Traders remain prudent regarding the immediate future. A further correction toward the $109,000–$110,000 region is still a possibility before momentum resumes.
A definitive close above $118,000 would validate a continuation of the optimistic trend.
With Tether’s $1 billion acquisition and gold’s unprecedented ascent as context, trading market sentiment is swinging to the positive side. Historically, Q4 has been a robust period for BTC, leading many to believe that a new high may be within reach before year’s end.
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